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Inferential Statisticshard
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In a clinical trial, the effectiveness of a treatment is measured by the change in symptom scores, where Δ=μtreatment−μcontrol\Delta = \mu_{treatment} - \mu_{control}Δ=μtreatment​−μcontrol​. A frequentist analysis provides a 95% confidence interval of [0.5,4.2][0.5, 4.2][0.5,4.2]. A Bayesian analysis using an uninformative flat prior yields a posterior distribution for Δ\DeltaΔ such that P(Δ>0∣Data)=0.985P(\Delta > 0 | Data) = 0.985P(Δ>0∣Data)=0.985. Which of the following statements is the most accurate interpretation?