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Probability Basicshard
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Two urns, U1U_1U1​ and U2U_2U2​, contain colored marbles. U1U_1U1​ holds 333 red and 222 blue marbles, while U2U_2U2​ holds 222 red and 444 blue marbles. A fair die is rolled; if the result is 111 or 222, a marble is drawn from U1U_1U1​. Otherwise, a marble is drawn from U2U_2U2​. If the drawn marble is red, what is the probability it originated from U1U_1U1​?